Your decision depends primarily on the length of time that you intend to keep the loan. If you are planning to keep the loan for five years or less, you are probably better off getting the lowest interest rate available, even if it is tied to a leading index. Your protection is the cap on adjustments. The risk of the loan adjusting dramatically and unexpectedly in a five-year period is usually outweighed by the lower interest rate being offered. The longer you keep the loan, the greater the risk. This is especially true if the trend appears to be toward higher rates. The advice is simple. If you plan to keep your loan for an indefinite period over five years and you believe interest rates will rise, get a fixed interest rate loan. If you only qualify for an adjustable rate loan, get one that uses a lagging index. The lagging index is most often the best for the borrower under any interest rate trend. If rates rise, they rise more slowly. If rates fall, you can refinance.
Something to remember when trying to estimate how long you will keep your mortgage: If your plan is to sell your property in a few years and buy a more expensive home, rising rates may prevent this by making the payments on the more expensive home beyond your reach. Also, refinancing may not be an option if rates rise, since you will have to pay the prevailing higher rate at the time you try to refinance. Planning to keep your mortgage for only a few years because that is how long you usually stay in one place before your job requires you to move is a much better reason. The following is a list of the most often used indexes and a short explanation of each. When you are offered an adjustable rate mortgage, ask your lender which index is being used and how it has reacted to economic changes over the last few years compared to other indexes. You can also do your own research by typing “mortgage indexes” into a search engine. There are several good websites that will list current index rates, as well as supply historical data.
There are several other indexes that are not as commonly used. If you are getting an adjustable rate mortgage loan, be sure to question the lender about the index being used and its volatility.
A margin is the difference between the index interest rate and the rate charged to the borrower. The lender has no control over the index rate, but complete control of the margin. One lender could set the interest rate at 2% over COFI, while another could charge 4% over COFI. Shopping for a lender that uses the index most suitable to your situation and the lowest margin is crucial to getting the best adjustable loan.
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